India’s COVID-19 peak in November with 20 lakh patients

COVID-19 is increasing with record single day spike in India, the experts have predicted that India might reach it’s infection peak in mid November with more than 20 lakh positive  cases , experts estimate an acute crisis of healthcare facilities when India will reach it’s peak

The COVID-19 graph in India is moving very fast with record single day spike crossing 15000 mark and cases reaching over 4 lakh 20 thousand

1. Coronavirus is spreading fast in India

A recent study unfolds that India may reach it’s peak around mid-November and a paucity of isolation and ICU beds and ventilators will arise.

2. A study reveals that India will reach it’s peak around mid-November

The daily surge in cases  depicts that almost one lakh new coronavirus cases are getting added to the national tally in every 7 to 8 days

3.One lakh new cases are getting added to the tally every week

Even if the coronavirus spreads at the same speed in the coming months then the experts fear that by the time India reaches it’s peak, in November, more than 20 lakh people will get infected by the virus

4. India’s peak might see more than 20 Lakh Covid-19 patients

In the worst affected cities of Delhi, Mumbai and Ahmedabad, the healthcare has already collapsed with shortage of ventilators,ICU units and healthcare staff

5. The worst affected cities are already facing healthcare crunch

In a scenario of intensified spread when India will reach it’s peak the demand for treatment facilities will also increase drastically.

6. The demand for treatment facilities will drastically increase in November

Thereafter, isolation beds could be inadequate for 5.4 months, ICU beds for 4.6 months and ventilators for 3.9 months, projections by the researchers showed.

7.There will be a massive crisis for the isolation beds when India reaches peak

However, this shortfall is estimated to be 83% less than what it could have been without the lockdown and public health measures.

8. The research claims that this shortfall could have been more without the lockdown

With sustained measures to increase the infrastructure and the varying pace of the epidemic in different regions, the impact of the unmet need can be reduced.

9. Healthcare infrastructure needs to be increased manyfold in order to meet the peak demand

If the coverage of healthcare measures can be increased to 80%, the epidemic can be mitigated.

10. The healthcare measures need to be increased by 80 % in order to handle the epidemic

The researchers said the management of the disease would involve a dynamic review of policies and significant strengthening of the healthcare system.

11. Dynamic review of policies and significant strengthening of healthcare system is required: experts

The overall economic health system cost of this pandemic is estimated to be 6.2% of India’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

12. The overall economic health system is estimated to cost over 6.2% of GDP

The coronavirus pandemic has been badly managed by the government, the lockdown failed to control the spread and hampered the economy

13 Government’s ill preparedness caused pandemic to explode in India. – National Herald India